The decision will be based on which project yields a higher positive NPV, as this indicates greater value creation for the business.
Formula: NPV = Sum of Present Values of Cash Inflows - Initial Investment
Step 1: Calculate the Present Value (PV) of cash flows for Option A
- Year 1: 1,500,000∗0.909=1,363,500
- Year 2: 2,000,000∗0.826=1,652,000
- Year 3: 2,500,000∗0.751=1,877,500
- Year 4: 2,500,000∗0.683=1,707,500
- Total PV (Option A): 1,363,500+1,652,000 + 1,877,500+1,707,500 = 6,600,500
Step 2: Calculate NPV for Option A
- NPV (A) = 6,600,500−5,000,000 = **1,600,500∗∗
Step 3: Calculate the Present Value (PV) of cash flows for Option B
- Year 1: 1,000,000∗0.909=909,000
- Year 2: 2,500,000∗0.826=2,065,000
- Year 3: 3,500,000∗0.751=2,628,500
- Year 4: 3,000,000∗0.683=2,049,000
- Total PV (Option B): 909,000+2,065,000 + 2,628,500+2,049,000 = 7,651,500
Step 4: Calculate NPV for Option B
- NPV (B) = 7,651,500−6,000,000 = **1,651,500∗∗
Conclusion:
Both options are financially viable as they have positive NPVs. However, Option B (Product Development) is the financially preferable choice as its NPV of $1,651,500 is higher than Option A's NPV of $1,600,500. This suggests it will add more value to the business. The strategic decision should also consider the higher risk and investment associated with product development compared to market development.