Step 1: Calculate potential customers for each segment.
- Freelancers: 500,000 (market size) × 2% (penetration) = 10,000 customers
- Small Businesses: 80,000 (market size) × 5% (penetration) = 4,000 customers
Step 2: Calculate total annual revenue for each segment.
- Freelancers: 10,000 customers × $15/month × 12 months = $1,800,000
- Small Businesses: 4,000 customers × 5 users/customer × $12/user/month × 12 months = $2,880,000
Step 3: Calculate total acquisition cost for each segment.
- Freelancers: 10,000 customers × 50CAC=500,000
- Small Businesses: 4,000 customers × 400CAC=1,600,000
Step 4: Calculate estimated annual profit for each segment.
- Freelancers: $1,800,000 (Revenue) - $500,000 (Costs) = 1,300,000
- Small Businesses: $2,880,000 (Revenue) - $1,600,000 (Costs) = 1,280,000
Recommendation:
Based on the calculations, the Freelancer segment is estimated to be more profitable in Year 1 (1,300,000vs.1,280,000). It also requires a significantly lower total marketing investment (500kvs.1.6m). Therefore, if the company's objective is to maximise initial profit and manage cash flow carefully, targeting freelancers is the recommended strategy.
Evaluation point: A firm might still choose the Small Business segment if its strategic objective is long-term growth, as this segment generates higher revenue and has a greater potential lifetime value (LTV) through upselling and expansion.