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9708 · 6.5

Policies to correct imbalances in the current account of the balance of payments — common mistakes

Common exam mistakes on 9708 Policies to correct imbalances in the current account of the balance of payments. Learn what loses marks, then practise the topic with Examiner’s Ink.

Exam tip 1

When evaluating devaluation, always discuss the Marshall-Lerner condition and the J-curve effect. The J-curve illustrates that the current account may worsen in the short term after a devaluation before it improves, due to low short-run price elasticities of demand for exports and imports.

Exam tip 2

Use a two-column table in essays: policy | type (reducing/switching/supply-side) | short-run effect | long-run effect | drawbacks. Cambridge rewards classification plus evaluation, not just listing policies.

Does a currency devaluation always fix a current account deficit?

No. Its success is not guaranteed. Firstly, the Marshall-Lerner condition must hold (PEDx + PEDm > 1). Secondly, the J-curve effect means the deficit will likely worsen in the short term before it improves. Thirdly, devaluation raises the price of imported raw materials, which can cause cost-push inflation, eroding the competitive advantage gained.

Are expenditure-reducing policies the best way to cut a deficit?

Not necessarily. While they can be effective in reducing import spending, they do so by slowing down the entire economy. This can lead to a recession, rising unemployment, and falling living standards. It is often described as 'curing the disease by killing the patient', highlighting a severe conflict with other major macroeconomic objectives.

Why isn't protectionism used more often if it reduces imports?

Protectionism is generally viewed as a poor long-term policy. It often leads to immediate retaliation from trading partners, who impose their own tariffs, potentially leading to a trade war where all countries lose. It also harms domestic consumers through higher prices and less choice, and it protects inefficient domestic firms from international competition, leading to a misallocation of resources.