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9709 · 6.4

Sampling and estimation — FAQ

Frequently asked questions for 9709 Sampling and estimation. Direct answers first, then deeper explanation — then practise with marking.

What is the difference between population variance $\sigma^2$ and the unbiased estimate $s^2$?

σ2\sigma^2 is a fixed, usually unknown, parameter of the entire population. s2s^2 is a statistic calculated from a sample, used to estimate σ2\sigma^2. We use s2=1n1(xixˉ)2s^2 = \frac{1}{n-1} \sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2 because it provides a more accurate (unbiased) estimate of σ2\sigma^2 than if we were to divide by nn.

When can I use the Central Limit Theorem?

You can apply the CLT when you are dealing with the distribution of the sample mean, Xˉ\bar{X}, and the sample size, nn, is large (typically n>30n > 30). It's essential when the original population distribution is unknown or not normal.

What's the difference between standard deviation and standard error?

Standard deviation (σ\sigma) measures the spread of data in a population. Standard error (specifically, the standard error of the mean, σn\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}) measures the typical distance between a sample mean and the population mean. It quantifies the uncertainty in your estimate of the mean.

How do I know whether to use $\sigma$ or $s$ in the confidence interval formula?

If the population standard deviation, σ\sigma, is given in the question, use it. If it is not known, you must first calculate an unbiased estimate, ss, from the sample data. In P6, you will typically be given σ\sigma or be working with a large enough sample that ss is a reliable substitute.

If I calculate a 99% confidence interval instead of a 95% one, will it be wider or narrower?

It will be wider. To be more confident (99% vs 95%) that your interval contains the true mean, you need to allow for a larger range of possibilities. This is reflected in the larger z-value for 99% confidence (2.576) compared to 95% (1.96).