1. Calculate Total Revenue
Total Revenue = Sales Volume × Selling Price
Total Revenue = 500 bikes × €1,200/bike = €600,000
2. Calculate Profit for Option 1: Exporting
- Step 2a: Calculate cost per bike in Euros
- UK Production Cost: £600 × 1.15 = €690
- Shipping Cost: £50 × 1.15 = €57.50
- Import Tariff (10% of production cost): 0.10 × €690 = €69
- German Marketing Cost: €100
- Total Cost per Bike: €690 + €57.50 + €69 + €100 = €916.50
- Step 2b: Calculate total annual profit
- Total Annual Cost: 500 bikes × €916.50 = €458,250
- Annual Profit (Exporting): €600,000 - €458,250 = €141,750
3. Calculate Profit for Option 2: FDI
- Step 3a: Calculate variable cost per bike in Euros
- UK Component Cost: £450 × 1.15 = €517.50
- Component Shipping Cost: £20 × 1.15 = €23
- German Assembly Labour: €150
- German Marketing Cost: €80
- Total Variable Cost per Bike: €517.50 + €23 + €150 + €80 = €770.50
- Step 3b: Calculate total annual profit
- Total Annual Variable Cost: 500 bikes × €770.50 = €385,250
- Total Annual Cost = Total Variable Cost + Fixed Costs = €385,250 + €80,000 = €465,250
- Annual Profit (FDI): €600,000 - €465,250 = €134,750
4. Recommendation
Based purely on the first year's profit forecast, Exporting is the more profitable option (€141,750 vs €134,750). It is also lower risk as it does not require a large initial capital investment for a factory.
However, the business should also consider long-term factors. The FDI strategy offers greater control over quality and marketing, avoids tariff risks (which could increase), and establishes a stronger local presence for future growth. If BritBikes is confident in the long-term potential of the German market, the FDI option may be strategically superior despite lower initial profits.