Worked example 1
An economy has: unemployment 8%, inflation 6%, current account deficit 4% of GDP, and Y below Yf.
(a) Identify the output gap type. (b) Recommend one fiscal and one monetary policy, explaining one conflict each creates. (c) Why might supply-side policy avoid some conflicts?
Show solution outline
(a) Output gap Y < Yf with 8% unemployment → negative (recessionary) gap — cyclical unemployment is elevated.
(b) Policies and conflicts Fiscal: Increase G or cut T → AD rises → unemployment falls ✓ but conflict with inflation (already 6%) and BOP (higher imports worsen deficit).
Monetary: Cut interest rates → C and I rise → AD rises → jobs improve ✓ but conflict with price stability — demand-pull inflation risk at 6%.
(c) Supply-side advantage Education, training, and infrastructure shift LRAS right → raises Yf and potential growth without boosting AD as aggressively → less inflationary and may improve competitiveness (helps BOP long run).