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9990 · 2.3.3

Mistakes in decision-making flashcards

Revision flashcards for Cambridge 9990 Mistakes in decision-making (syllabus 2.3.3). Flip, recall, then mark a real past-paper question.

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    Anchoring bias?

    First number encountered (e.g. 'was £200, now £80') disproportionately influences judgment — insufficient adjustment from anchor.

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    Framing effect?

    Same information presented differently alters choice — '90% fat-free' preferred over '10% fat' (identical product).

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    Loss aversion (Kahneman & Tversky)?

    Losses feel roughly twice as painful as equivalent gains — drives fear of missing sales and endowment effect.

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    Sunk cost fallacy?

    Continuing investment because of past spending — e.g. keeping unused gym membership because already paid.

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    Endowment effect?

    Owning something increases its perceived value — free trials and return policies exploit this.

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    Marketer exploitation?

    RRP anchoring, limited-time offers (scarcity), and 'was/now' pricing trigger these biases (2.4.2, 2.5.1).

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    What is the anchoring bias in a consumer context?

    A cognitive bias where consumers rely too heavily on the first piece of information (the 'anchor'), such as an initial price, when making purchasing decisions.

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    Explain the framing effect using a consumer example.

    Presenting the same information in different ways to alter perception. For example, labelling minced beef as '80% lean' (positive frame) is more appealing than '20% fat' (negative frame).

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    Define the sunk cost fallacy.

    The tendency to continue an action or investment because of previously invested resources (time, money, effort), even when it is no longer the most rational choice.

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    How does overconfidence bias affect consumer decisions?

    It causes consumers to overestimate their knowledge or ability, leading to insufficient product research, underestimation of long-term costs (e.g., credit), and poor purchasing choices.

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    What is the psychological principle often linked to the framing effect?

    Loss aversion, which is the tendency to prefer avoiding losses over acquiring equivalent gains. People feel the pain of a loss more strongly than the pleasure of a gain.